Set-Aside Alert exclusive research:
2-yr trend of reduced small biz
set-asides continued in FY2020
Trend began with 43% drop in set-aside awards in FY18
The two-year trend of sharply reduced use of traditional small business set-asides in federal contracting continued for a third year in fiscal 2020, according to new research by Set-Aside Alert.
The trend of significantly reduced Full and Partial Small Business set-aside awards that began from fiscal 2017-2019 continued for a third year in fiscal 2020. Such awards dropped by 43%, from $44 billion in fiscal 2017 to $25 billion in fiscal 2018.
These awards remained low at $27 billion in fiscal 2019 and at $28 billion in fiscal 2020.
Possible reasons for the trend
With rising federal contract spending from fiscal 2017-2020, it is likely there was less time for contracting officers to focus on small business set-asides. Also, agencies may have had less incentive to create set-asides because many were able to meet their small business goals regardless.
The growth in category management and so-called “Best In Class” acquisition vehicles also likely contributed to fewer set-asides.
The shrinkage in set-asides for the last three years already has reduced the market for vendors who rely on set-asides.
Unless there is a reversal of the trend, those vendors likely will experience more competition and find it more difficult to win set-aside contracts.
Set-Aside Alert’s analysis
Set-Aside Alert compiled the total awards for Total and Partial Small Business set-asides, total small business awards and Total and Partial Small Business Set-asides as a percentage of total small business awards.
Total and partial small business set-aside award data is from USASpending.gov, and includes IDIQ contracts and sole-source contracts. All years are fiscal years:
Total & Partial Small Biz Set-Aside Awards |
2008 | $20 billion |
2009 | $24 billion |
2010 | $29 billion |
2011 | $28 billion |
2012 | $30 billion |
2013 | $30 billion |
2014 | $34 billion |
2015 | $35 billion |
2016 | $40 billion |
2017 | $44 billion |
2018 | $25 billion |
2019 | $27 billion |
2020 | $28 billion |
2021 (partial) | $8 billion |
Meanwhile, during the 2016-2020 period, all federal contracting was increasing dramatically. Total federal contract awards went up by 40%, from $475 billion to $666 billion, during the four-year period (USASpending.gov data).
Similarly, total small business awards rose to new heights, going up 33% during the same four years (SBA data).
Total Small Business Awards |
2008 | $93 billion |
2009 | $97 billion |
2010 | $98 billion |
2011 | $92 billion |
2012 | $90 billion |
2013 | $83 billion |
2014 | $92 billion |
2015 | $91 billion |
2016 | $100 billion |
2017 | $106 billion |
2018 | $121 billion |
2019 | $133 billion |
2020 | N/A |
Total and partial small business set-asides as a percentage of total small business awards fell in fiscal 2018 and fiscal 2019.
Since SBA totals are not yet available for fiscal 2020, that percentage could not be calculated.
Total & Partial Small Biz Set-Aside Awards as a Percentage of Total Small Business Awards |
2008 | 21% |
2009 | 25% |
2010 | 29% |
2011 | 31% |
2012 | 33% |
2013 | 36% |
2014 | 37% |
2015 | 38% |
2016 | 40% |
2017 | 41% |
2018 | 20% |
2019 | 20% |
2020 | N/A |
SBA officials were not immediately available to comment.
More Information:
SBA scorecards: https://bit.ly/3hobE73
USASpending.gov: https://www.USASpending.gov